From the record / Market
Will QQQ close below $733.69 on Friday, Sep 25, 2026?
Conviction, on the record.
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MarketAwaiting resolution
SOL outperforms ETH through Sep 18
Resolve BACK if, by 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC, the named market data source shows Sol outperforming eth on percent return over the review window; otherwise resolve FADE.
MarketAwaiting resolution
DIA outperforms IWM through Sep 18
Resolve BACK if, by 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC, the named market data source shows Dia outperforming iwm on percent return over the review window; otherwise resolve FADE.
MarketAwaiting resolution
GLD outperforms SLV through Sep 18
Resolve BACK if, by 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC, the named market data source shows Gld outperforming slv on percent return over the review window; otherwise resolve FADE.
MarketResolved
GLD closes above 402 by Sep 18 20:00 UTC
Resolve BACK if, by 2026-09-18 20:05 UTC, the named market data source shows gld above the 402; otherwise resolve FADE.
The evidence stays public
What settled
The latest recorded outcomes, whichever side they favor. Claim outcomes and financial returns are different records.
Recorded outcomeFADE
GLD closes above 394.82 USD on 2026-09-25
The FADE condition was recorded as met. Inspect the source record and original conditions.
Yahoo Finance historical price data
Recorded Sep 25, 2026, 20:40 UTC
Participant credits recorded in internal accounts. Not an on-chain withdrawal.
View the receipt →Recorded outcomeFADE
QQQ closes below 733.69 USD on 2026-09-25
The FADE condition was recorded as met. Inspect the source record and original conditions.
Yahoo Finance historical price data
Recorded Sep 25, 2026, 20:40 UTC
Participant credits recorded in internal accounts. Not an on-chain withdrawal.
View the receipt →Recorded outcomeFADE
TLT closes below 80.6 USD on 2026-09-21
The FADE condition was recorded as met. Inspect the source record and original conditions.
Yahoo Finance historical price data
Recorded Sep 24, 2026, 22:41 UTC
Participant credits recorded in internal accounts. Not an on-chain withdrawal.
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